The announcement that the UK economy contracted by 0.2 per cent
underlines the trend for companies and consumers to avoid spending
wherever possible, business leaders in the West Midlands said
yesterday.
Birmingham Chamber of Commerce Group (BCCG) said yesterday's GDP
figures for the final quarter of 2011 was further evidence that the
economy is stalling,
BCCG president Michael Ward said consumer demand was falling as
a result of wage restraint and inflation and he added. "This has
hurt consumption while the eurozone crisis has meant that the UK's
key export market has been in a state of turmoil for much of the
last year. Many businesses and consumers are retrenching and
avoiding spending wherever possible."
The BCCG quarterly economic survey for the last three months of
2011 indicated businesses within the Greater Birmingham and
Solihull Local Enterprise partnership (LEP) were seeing a slowing
in export growth with 10 per cent fewer manufacturers reporting
that their export sales had increased in Q4 compared with Q1 of
2011.
Mr Ward added: "It is vital that the Bank of England holds
interest rates at their historic low of 0.5 per cent for the
foreseeable future as any increase would eat into the disposable
income consumers have left and would cause interest rates to rise
on mortgages and loans.
"The Monetary Policy Committee must also expand its Quantitative
Easing programme £50 billion to £325 billion. This
would free up significant amounts of capital that could then be
loaned out to businesses looking to expand."
The British Chambers of Commerce recently announced that, as a
result of the eurozone crisis being more serious than previously
predicted, they expect GDP growth will be minimal until
mid-2012, and then improve gradually.
Additionally the British Chambers forecast that unemployment
will increase to 2.77 million before it shows any sign of
abating.