Pictured: Simon Lloyd, Head of Industrial &
Logistics
The amount of floorspace transacted rebounded in Q3 2011, with
nearly 7m sq ft being recorded, according to DTZ Research's
Property Times UK Industrial report, which covers the market for
properties over 50,000 sq ft. This is up from 5.6m sq ft in Q2 2011
and is the highest quarterly level in the last 12 months. The
manufacturing sector continued to increase its share of take-up of
industrial and logistics space in Q3 2011, Since Q3 2010, take-up
from the manufacturing sector has increased from 10% to 34%.
Despite the wider economic turmoil and a shortage of grade A
stock, occupiers are continuing to make decisions about property,
capitalising on the opportunity to acquire good space at a
reasonable price in the face of hardening incentives.
The report found that prime stock is relatively scarce and in
some regions is now in very short supply. New stock is only coming
to the market in the form of pre-let or pre-sale schemes. These are
now the prevalent method of securing new space in a difficult
environment for new supply.
Simon Lloyd, Head of Industrial and Logistics at DTZ said: "It
is great to see more demand from manufacturing companies, much of
which is fuelled by the automotive and precision engineering
sectors. However, as a result of the wider economic turmoil,
occupiers remain cautious, which is reflected in the reduced take
up of larger buildings especially preleasing solutions which
require more forward planning. However, the market is reaching an
inflection point, where the continued shortage of space will
increase the probability of rental growth in the near future,
stimulating speculative development."
The report highlights that there was little change in the rental
outlook in Q3, with average growth forecast of 1.4% pa throughout
the 2011-15 period. Investment levels rose marginally in Q3, with
investment in the Greater London and South East areas increasing
from 31% in 2011 Q2 2011 to 54% of total invested stock in Q3 2011
- its highest level since 2001.
In the West Midlands after a strong Q2 2011 which was enhanced
by the 700,000 sq ft letting to Amazon at Rugeley, activity in the
West Midlands was subdued during Q3 2011. It was below the
long-term average of 1m sq ft, with the largest letting at 240,000
sq ft.
Simon Lloyd commented: "Whilst the Q3 figures show a reduced
take-up level compared with the previous quarters, the underlying
trend remains positive. Q2 was enhanced by the leasing of the
700,000 sq ft Flair at Rugeley by Amazon, and the last period's
take-up was more a reflection of the amount of prime availability
in the region. Indeed, a number of buildings are now either under
offer, or have good interest in them, so we are likely to see
enhanced take-up in Q4. As most new requirements will need to be
satisfied by build to suit projects, future take-up is therefore
likely to generate rental growth."
Martin Davis, Head of UK Research at DTZ added: "Continuing
economic uncertainty has been taking its toll on occupier demand,
but underlying activity is still chipping away at the shrinking
amount of speculative space available. While the
manufacturing sector is facing challenges in the immediate future,
the fast changing retail environment could be a fertile source of
demand for logistics property going forward."