Job prospects in the Greater Birmingham and Solihull area are
likely to improve marginally over the next three months, according
to a new survey published yesterday (Thursday, October 6).
This is one of the few glimmers of hope revealed in the economic
survey for the third quarter of the year conducted by Birmingham
Chamber of Commerce Group (BCCG) in conjunction with the Greater
Birmingham and Solihull Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP).
The BCCG survey has now been expanded to include the whole LEP
area, which comprises Birmingham, Bromsgrove, Cannock Chase, East
Staffordshire, Lichfield, Redditch, Solihull, Tamworth and Wyre
Forest.
And the way the region's businesses are maintaining their
confidence and fighting back in these difficult economic conditions
drew praise from both the Chamber and the LEP.
Despite the LEP outperforming the UK picture, the area was not
immune from the weakening global business environment. Figures for
manufacturers who have increased exports in the last quarter are
the lowest since September last year. Forty-three per cent said
they are increasing sales, compared with 38 per cent.
Advance orders faired worst with only 37 per cent saying they
had increased, the lowest figure since March last year, when it was
36 per cent.
Increases in home market sales dropped to 41 per cent compared
with 47 per cent in the previous quarter and orders were also
falling with 40 per cent reporting a rise against 43 per cent in
the previous quarter.
The picture was much the same in the service sector with home
and export sales and orders in decline.
However, the jobs front looked more optimistic, particularly in
the service sector. Not only did 22 per cent, compared with 16 per
cent in the previous quarter, say their workforce had increased but
23 per cent expect to take on more people in the next three
months.
In the manufacturing sector, increasing workforces had declined
to 30 per cent compared with 35 per cent in June. But 26 per cent
expected to be recruiting in the next quarter compared with 24 in
the previous quarter.
Christine Braddock, president of Birmingham Chamber, said: "The
slight increase in job prospects, although small, is encouraging
but there is still a long way to go and demonstrates the
determination of businesses to overcome current trading
difficulties.
"All current and future sales margins and prospects are
extremely small and there is little doubt that disappointing
figures in exports reflect the problems in the EU - our largest
export market.
"The service sector's export market has also experienced a
significant decline but is doing relatively better than the UK
market."
Business confidence remains static and relatively high, given
the difficult trading conditions both at home and abroad.
Sixty-one per cent of manufacturers were confident that turnover
would improve while 47 per cent expected to improve profitability.
Confidence was a little higher in the service sector - 63 per cent
expecting to improve turnover and 60 per cent looking at boosting
profitability.
Andy Street, chair of the Greater Birmingham and Solihull LEP,
said: "In the face of continuing difficult economic news, the
resilience shown in this survey is relatively encouraging. It
reflects the determined efforts of the Midlands business community
- from SMEs to our biggest firms - to remain competitive, win
market share, and adapt to the changing economic
environment."