Property professionals from across the Midlands have been
gathering over the past week to hear international property
consultants, King Sturge, give their predictions for 2011.
Speaking of a mixed outlook across the region, 2011 is generally
being approached with a degree of caution with glimmers of hope,
certainly in the occupational markets.
The industrial teams stated that opportunities existed for
growth in the Midlands from internet sales and the growing demand
from waste management and renewable energy sectors. A bounce
in the manufacturing market is also looking positive for the
region.
Despite very limited speculative schemes over the past few years
and the dwindling supply of new/modern stock in prime locations, it
was stated the conditions were not yet ready for speculative
development to return.
In 2011 strategic land deals would come to the fore in prime
locations, creating oven ready sites that could be turned around
quickly, but proving deliverability and quality would be the main
drivers.
A key trend in the office market going forward would be a
scarcity of quality, Grade A stock, with little new development
imminent in any of the region's towns and cities.
Occupiers will still be very much in the driving seat and many
companies will now be incentivised to move and upgrade their space
at minimal or reduced costs with landlords continuing to offer
flexible packages.
Austerity measures also continue to remain a threat, with the
tap dramatically turned off for public sector take up in some
cities, and the threat of surplus public sector buildings adding to
the overhang of stock.
A growing divide in the market between primary and secondary
stock is also thought to be emerging. A downward trend in rent in
the secondary market and extended voids is reducing viability of
redevelopment or refurbishment, resulting in some buildings
becoming illiquid and an underclass of obsolete properties
occurring. Banks also look set to step up sales of distressed
properties.
Overseas funds are to remain dominant for prime assets in 2011.
Whilst London would be the main benefactors, some of the region may
see a wave of activity.
King Sturge's planning team said 2011 would be a tough year for
planning and development as the Localism Bill unravels and reforms
began to bite, creating another hiatus in the planning system.
Developers will also need to spend even more resources to ensure
they address local issues.
There will be polarisation, says the planning team. Affluent
areas are less likely to welcome development. Regeneration areas,
where there is obvious need, are unlikely to be viable without
public sector support. Rejuvenation of inner city areas in the
Midlands will require an innovative and flexible approach to be
taken by both public and private sectors.
However, on a more optimistic note it was stated that Localism
could offer a simpler approach to gaining planning in many cases,
with applications determined more on their merit, rather than
through rigid adherence to planning policy and standards. All Local
Planning Authorities (LPA's) want private sector jobs. This should
encourage a more flexible and less dogmatic approach about
employment land use, particularly distribution.
Commercial such as food retail and large mixed use schemes
promoting employment and commercial benefits may also prove more
attractive to LPA's because of job generation.
In summing up, King Sturge said now is the time to start
planning for the future and engage with LPA's to ensure for future
planning. Asset management would also be a key theme for 2011 -
looking after tenants to ensure returns from income could be
maximised and preparing sites for the future.