Pictured above: Nigel Reynolds, Founder and Principal
of Reynolds and Co.
Nigel Reynolds, Founder and Principal of West Midlands based
accountancy practice Reynolds and Co., warns the Midlands business
community that the United Kingdom will start to feel the effects of
the United States' slowing economic growth within the next nine
months.
Recent reports have suggested that US data has been
disappointing across many areas, such as jobs, retail sales and
consumer confidence. The housing weakness has been particularly
disturbing, as sales of new and existing US homes reached
multi-year lows in July.
Nigel believes that when the UK starts to feel the effects, it
will result in a similar lower growth and possibly a return to
recession, before being followed by a more sustained growth.
Nigel explains: "The West Midlands business community needs to
be aware that the current economic situation may get worse before
it gets better. I am therefore issuing the warning that we may be
seeing the repercussions of the United States' slowing economic
growth within six to nine months.
"I like to use the analogy that the recession from 2008 was like
a major earthquake that is followed by smaller aftershocks and an
occasional larger aftershock. The situation in the US at present
has the potential to be one of those larger shocks.
"The problem is that the bad practices within the banking sector
that caused the recession from 2008 have still not been addressed.
One lesson that we should have learnt from that time is that the
world is no longer a series of separate economies such as Asia,
China, USA and Europe, but we are now closer to being one economy
and this has only happened in the last thirty to fifty years."
In comparison to the US data, China's is being regarded as the
world's new growth engine and while their expansion has also shown
signs of slowing, it remains at a strong pace by Western standards.
China's trade surplus has also surged to an eighteen month
high.
However, Nigel comments: "I am concerned by the major reliance
being placed upon China as a way out of the problems faced by the
rest of the world. While I feel that this may be the case, I do not
like putting all of my eggs in one basket.
"This shows that it is time that the Politicians faced the fact
that the only way to control the banking sector is through Global
Regulation and Taxation so that they are prevented from playing one
Country off against another and from using their economic influence
to affect a Countries Development. It needs a real initiative to
make a difference."
Reynolds and Co specialise in accountancy (including Solicitors'
Accounts Rules), taxation and business advisory services. This
includes Management and Business Services, Business Start Up
Support, Tax Management and Tax Returns Support, IT Support and
Payroll and Booking Keeping Services.
The firm is also a member of the ACCA, the largest global body
for professional accountants - with 140,000 members of the
accredited body across the World.