Pictured above: (l-r) Philippa Pickavance and Jill Astley of
Drivers Jonas Deloitte Midlands
Eight new developments under construction in Birmingham city
centre this year show a rise from six new construction starts last
year, reports Drivers Jonas Deloitte in this year's annual
Birmingham Crane Survey.
The research found that similar to 2008-9, development activity
in the city remains diverse with only one of the new starts
comprising an office scheme. Other new starts include three
residential schemes, one student accommodation scheme, one
retail-led mixed-use project, a large public sector development
(Library of Birmingham) and the redevelopment of Edgbaston Cricket
Ground. However, despite the encouraging number of new starts,
there is a third less office space and a fifth less residential
space under construction compared to this time last year.
"This year's Crane Survey is more encouraging than many,
including ourselves expected," commented Jill Astley development
director for Drivers Jonas Deloitte Midlands. "Birmingham has
proven to have some resilience with eight new construction starts
and a diverse range of schemes underway. Public funding has proven
vital to this, even with schemes not directly delivering public
sector space. The HCA's Kickstart programme in particular has been
a fiscal instrument of key importance for all of the new
residential schemes which the survey has identified, unlocking
financial viability issues and helping stalled schemes get back on
track. Construction activity is evident again in the city centre
and that is hugely encouraging as we look towards future
growth."
Office development has continued to slow as predicted in the
2009 Crane Survey with only one new office start - the 196,000 sq
ft scheme being constructed by Thomas Vale at Woodcock Street in
Aston. Scheduled to complete in 2011, the largest office
transaction in the city in 2009 is being developed on behalf of
owner occupier, Birmingham City Council. The only other new office
space identified by the research forms part of the new mixed-use
Tesco scheme on Icknield Street which will include 1,920 sq ft of
office space.
A total of 182,270 sq ft of office space will be delivered this
year across four schemes with the majority situated within The Cube
which will deliver 110,000 sq ft of offices, around half of which
has already been occupied by the Highways Agency. Although a
further 352,300 sq ft of office space is under construction in
Birmingham city centre, only 127,000 sq ft is still available.
"The fact that we are seeing a relatively small amount of new
space delivery to the market this year is not a bad thing,"
commented Philippa Pickavance, director and head of agency for
Drivers Jonas Deloitte Midlands. "With around 1.2 million sq ft of
Grade A office space still available out of a total stock of 17.04
million sq ft, and 3.4 million sq ft of vacant office space, we
believe this will mean no new speculative office building in the
city for a number of years, with continued poor demand for space at
all levels. However on a positive note, the city does have a good
mixed grade stock to offer occupiers who are in the market."
Take-up in the city is off to a reasonable start for 2010 with
183,400 sq ft transacting in the first quarter, 51 per cent up
year-on-year. Take-up was again dominated by a few larger deals and
then many smaller deals, including the Office of Legal Complaints
committing to two floors (46,000 sq ft) of space at Baskerville
House this quarter.
Due to market pressure, 2010 has continued to see headline rents
decline and incentives increase. Headline rents on top grade A
space are holding between £25 and £27.50 per sq ft,
with a substantial variety of additional grade A space available
for between £18 to £25 per sq ft. Reasonable second
hand accommodation ranges from £12 to £18 per sq
ft.
The research also highlighted an emerging trend in rising demand
for D1 educational use in office accommodation, representing some
16 per cent of the Q1 2010 take-up compared with only six per cent
in 2009.
In the residential market, activity has picked up this year with
three new starts. Delivery volumes however remain much reduced with
456 units completing in 2010 and 334 scheduled for 2011. All of the
residential starts are situated outside of the city core and have
been supported by public funding through the Homes and Communities
Agency's Kickstart scheme. They comprise The Quarter by Morris
Homes in the Jewellery Quarter, Zone 8A of Park Central, and
Persimmon Homes' Abode Birmingham on Charlotte Road which will
comprise 100 per cent of houses in this phase. Kickstart funding
has also seen Masshouse return to the Crane Survey following the
development's stall in 2009; the 167 apartments are now scheduled
to complete in early 2011.
In addition to traditional office and residential developments
under construction, the research also highlighted the diversity of
projects underway in Birmingham city centre, the most high profile
being the new £188 million Library of Birmingham, due to
complete in 2013. Student accommodation continues to rise in
Birmingham with the survey identifying a new scheme on Bagot Street
near Lancaster Circus due to complete in 2011 which, together with
the Jennens Road scheme identified in last year's survey, will
provide almost 2,000 student bedspaces in the city centre.
Work has started on Edgbaston Cricket Ground's new stand with
permission also granted for an adjacent mixed-use scheme which has
yet to get underway. Construction is also underway on the new
mixed-use Tesco development on Icknield Street, this will include
four additional retail units, a small office element and six
apartments.
"As developers seek to maintain profitability and with financing
remaining tight, we expect to see more non-traditional and
mixed-use developments such as those identified in this year's
survey coming forward," commented Jill Astley. "Despite long
planning and lead-in periods developers must remain as flexible as
possible to capitalise on niche opportunities and changing market
conditions, and the delivery of more varied schemes is likely to
result from this. It also remains to be seen what impact the
amended Big City Plan will have on the city centre when it is
released in September, how the incorporation of High Speed 2 will
affect future development in Eastside.
"Looking forward, we do not foresee any speculative construction
starts for purely private sector office schemes during the next two
years, although small office elements may be incorporated into
larger mixed-use schemes. The unlikelihood of future
Kickstart or public funding means solely apartment based schemes
are also improbable. The economy's big focus is debt finance and
borrowing and, with construction activity being a highly visible
indicator of lending and market confidence, it is hoped that recent
public sector support in Birmingham has stimulated enough
confidence in our city to keep its development moving forward."
For more information about Drivers Jonas Deloitte, please visit
their website here: www.djdeloitte.co.uk