Pictured above: Stephen Bottley
Deal volumes are set to rise, with the Midlands joining in the
improvement, according to a new survey.
The majority of deals are expected to be valued at less than
£150 million, in the sort of range where regional
professionals have honed their expertise.
The upbeat message follows research from law firm DLA Piper and
corporate finance advisory business Hawkpoint.
Stephen Bottley, a partner in the Finance and Projects group at
the Birmingham office of DLA Piper, said: "At last there is a sense
that things are moving. But it is a case of proceed with
caution.
"Mergers and acquisition activity will take time to return.
However, there is a feeling that we are definitely over the
worst."
Mr Bottley said the £50-150 million deal was the "sweet
spot" for the Midlands finance community.
He noted: "Everyone is working hard to make things happen.
However, while there is movement, getting a deal from opportunity
to completion is still quite a hard job.
"There remains a lot of fear that something will fall over along
the way - the vendor will pull out, maybe some issue will arise
during due diligence, or perhaps the bank credit approval will be
hard to obtain at the desired pricing/multiple so some compromise
will need to be reached.
"Nationally, you have the imminent general election, the economy
is yet to bounce back, so confidence is fragile. However,
regionally, banks and professionals work together and do have
confidence in each other. And at the levels we are talking about
they are very capable of delivering."
The European Acquisition Finance Debt Survey reveals nine in ten
institutions expect deal volumes to improve.
Healthcare and professional services are set to be at the
forefront of the M&A rebound.
The survey, which polled a wide range of the most influential
participants in the lending and private equity market including
Alchemy Partners, HSBC Bank, Investec, Lloyds Banking Group, NM
Rothschild and RBS, found that 88.2 per cent anticipated growth in
deal activity in 2010 compared with 2009.
More than seven in ten (71 per cent) of respondents stated that
healthcare would see deal activity whilst the second most popular
choice - business & professional services - appealed to nearly
two thirds (62.4 per cent). There was scepticism, however,
over the real estate and leisure sectors, with only 5.4 per cent
and 14 per cent of respondents predicting significant deals would
be concluded in 2010.
The consensus is that most activity will be seen at the mid to
low value end of the market.
Three quarters (75.4 per cent) of respondents felt that the most
active size-range for deals would be below £150 million, with
the £50-100 million sector being where the highest proportion
(29.3 per cent) believed things would be done.
More than 75 per cent believed that the UK would remain Europe's
most active jurisdiction for M&A.
In terms of capital structure, almost 90 per cent believe senior
debt leverage will remain under 3.5 times and equity contributions
will be a minimum of 45 per cent. Six in ten say liquidity for
senior debt will never return to 2007 levels.