Prime office activity in Birmingham in the fourth quarter of
2009 returned to levels seen earlier in the year following a spike
of activity in quarter three, according to latest research from
leading adviser DTZ.
In its latest Property Times report, DTZ states that take-up for
the final quarter was just over 100,000 sq ft - in line with
Quarter 4 2008 and Quarters 1 and 2 of 2009 - but the composition
had changed, with nearly two-thirds (64 per cent) accounted for by
Grade B space.
David Tonks, head of office agency, said: "Demand has focused on
Grade B stock, either by virtue of its location or specification,
largely due to churn from flexible, manoeuvrable firms which
already have a presence in the city centre. However, the make-up of
Grade A supply in Birmingham is strong and diverse, and I believe
we will see much more take up of this stock during 2010.
"Birmingham is now very attractive for any footloose,
cost-conscious UK firms interested in making a move. We have great
property choice and rents are not significantly higher than any
other comparable regional centre."
Martin Davis, head of UK Markets Research at DTZ, added: "UK
regional office take-up fell 20 per cent in 2009 compared to 2008.
In Quarter 4, as expected, take-up fell back on aggregate
across the nine key regional office markets we track. This
followed a peak in Quarter 3 when a number of exceptional deals saw
take-up increase in the UK by 150 per cent. This national trend was
clearly highlighted in Birmingham with a spike in take up in
Quarter 3, and a fall in Quarter 4. With the overall volume
of leasing transactions remaining low, individual deals continue to
have a big impact on take-up figures."
As a target for investors, central Birmingham offices fared well
in Quarter 4, with demand intensifying against very limited supply.
Pricing has moved aggressively, with Birmingham prime city centre
office yields estimated to have compressed to 6.25 per cent.
Geoff Thomas, Birmingham-based regional chairman at DTZ, said:
"Demand is still mostly focused on a very narrow range of
properties in prime locations that are well configured and let to
strong covenants on long leases. There is tentative evidence that
purchasers have loosened their investment criteria (primarily by
considering shorter income) to access more opportunities.
"The current weight of money is set to persist and compress
yields into the first half of 2010, which is likely to encourage
more stock on to the market. Current pricing presents an
opportunity for the release of some better quality bank-controlled
stock, so we are likely to see a drip-feed of bank-led sales during
the year.
"All-in-all, Birmingham offices remained resilient during the
downturn and represent an excellent investment class going forward,
especially as DTZ assesses that they remain 'fair value' at current
prices."