Flint Bishop

Birmingham office market stabilises and investment demand increases

Prime office activity in Birmingham in the fourth quarter of 2009 returned to levels seen earlier in the year following a spike of activity in quarter three, according to latest research from leading adviser DTZ.

In its latest Property Times report, DTZ states that take-up for the final quarter was just over 100,000 sq ft - in line with Quarter 4 2008 and Quarters 1 and 2 of 2009 - but the composition had changed, with nearly two-thirds (64 per cent) accounted for by Grade B space.

David Tonks, head of office agency, said: "Demand has focused on Grade B stock, either by virtue of its location or specification, largely due to churn from flexible, manoeuvrable firms which already have a presence in the city centre. However, the make-up of Grade A supply in Birmingham is strong and diverse, and I believe we will see much more take up of this stock during 2010.

"Birmingham is now very attractive for any footloose, cost-conscious UK firms interested in making a move. We have great property choice and rents are not significantly higher than any other comparable regional centre."

Martin Davis, head of UK Markets Research at DTZ, added: "UK regional office take-up fell 20 per cent in 2009 compared to 2008.  In Quarter 4, as expected, take-up fell back on aggregate across the nine key regional office markets we track.  This followed a peak in Quarter 3 when a number of exceptional deals saw take-up increase in the UK by 150 per cent. This national trend was clearly highlighted in Birmingham with a spike in take up in Quarter 3, and a fall in Quarter 4.  With the overall volume of leasing transactions remaining low, individual deals continue to have a big impact on take-up figures." 

As a target for investors, central Birmingham offices fared well in Quarter 4, with demand intensifying against very limited supply. Pricing has moved aggressively, with Birmingham prime city centre office yields estimated to have compressed to 6.25 per cent.

Geoff Thomas, Birmingham-based regional chairman at DTZ, said: "Demand is still mostly focused on a very narrow range of properties in prime locations that are well configured and let to strong covenants on long leases. There is tentative evidence that purchasers have loosened their investment criteria (primarily by considering shorter income) to access more opportunities.

"The current weight of money is set to persist and compress yields into the first half of 2010, which is likely to encourage more stock on to the market. Current pricing presents an opportunity for the release of some better quality bank-controlled stock, so we are likely to see a drip-feed of bank-led sales during the year.

"All-in-all, Birmingham offices remained resilient during the downturn and represent an excellent investment class going forward, especially as DTZ assesses that they remain 'fair value' at current prices."

 



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Article published by Midlands Business News on 22 January, 2010

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Articles submitted by DTZ :



  • Overall industrial take-up in the UK fell in Q2 with a marked fall in the East Midlands, reports DTZ - click to read
  • Overall industrial take-up in the UK fell in Q2 although take-up in the West Midlands increased by 15 per cent - click to read
  • Birmingham more competitive as London's West End confirmed World's most expensive office location - click to read
  • Birmingham office market stabilises and investment demand increases - click to read
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