Will Self, managing director of Stratford-upon-Avon-based Self
Financial Planners, looks at the latest 'fashion' in financial
products.
Financial market trends are like those in fashion. By the time
you latch on, the world has usually moved on. And if you act on
them, you just end up with expensive stuff that doesn't suit you
and that no one wants to buy.
A couple of years ago, the big trend on the catwalks of the
fixed interest markets was for exotic numbers like collateralised
debt obligations, hybrids and other fancy instruments that were
sold to investors as "high yield". Well, we know how that one
turned out.
Trying to sell someone those funky fixed interest products in
2009 is like trying to clear a fashion warehouse full of leg
warmers, stonewashed jeans and parachute pants. For sure, someone,
somewhere once liked this stuff. Trouble is no one now, apart from
'80s revivalists, can remember why.
The fashion industry survives by exploiting a desire in
consumers for certain "looks" based on what the rich and famous are
wearing. By the time products based on this look hit the mass
market, they are no longer fashionable. This guarantees continued
turnover.
Likewise, much of the financial services industry profits by
making products that cater to whatever emotion investors are
feeling at any one time. When those products no longer fit the
zeitgeist, a new set is rolled out.
Two or three years ago, with investors focused more on return
than risk, the industry had a ready-made market for complex
products whose attractive yield was achieved through often hidden
levels of credit risk and leverage.
A long period of low interest rates and relative economic
stability had lulled many investors to the dangers out there.
The consequences of that lack of attendance to risk, not just by
ordinary investors but by major financial institutions that should
have known better, were seen last year in the global financial
crisis.
Scarred by that experience, many people have now swung in the
other direction and are more focused on risk than return. So the
financial services industry has obliged by creating products that
appeal to that need.
These include new types of structured products that guarantee
your investments against loss for a specified number of years.
Additionally, there are products that lock in any capital growth
you achieve for specific terms.
The marketing line for these "capital guaranteed" products is
that investors can get exposure to higher return assets without the
associated risk. After the crisis of 2008, this sounds particularly
appealing and is an easy sell.
But just as people three years ago were buying structured
products not fully aware of the risks they were taking, are they
now buying them not fully aware of the fees they are paying?
Bear in mind, also, that many of these products are guaranteed
only at maturity. If you sell at a loss before the agreed maturity
date, you lose your capital protection. In the meantime, you have
paid all those fees for nothing and inflation has eaten into the
purchasing power of your original investment.
And no investment can ever be truly guaranteed. Even the
promoters of these schemes admit that they cannot predict what
rates of return will be achieved. As well, investors are exposed to
the financial soundness of the organisation issuing the guarantee
and the risk that the guarantee will be terminated.
Most of all, there is the question as to whether investors
really understand what they are investing in. In some cases, the
conditions are such that the "guarantee" is not as solid as it
appears.
In the past month, three providers of capital guaranteed
structured products have been placed into administration.
Even when the investments are understood, there is still the
question of cost. Research by the Department for Work and Pensions
last year found guaranteed products were "too expensive to be
attractive to most people".
In the final analysis, it is completely understandable after the
events of 2008 that investors worried about the return of their
capital would be searching for products that give them greater
peace of mind.
But this need has to balanced against the cost of the products,
the lack of liquidity, the multiple conditions, the lack of
transparency around the underlying investments and the fact that
nothing ever can truly be guaranteed.
An alternative approach is to maintain a diversified pool of
assets - cash, fixed interest, listed property and small, large and
value stocks in local, developed and emerging markets -
commensurate with your own risk appetite.
These investments should be in a low-fee managed fund that
controls risk through broad diversification, is mindful of costs
and taxes and that seeks to tap the long-term returns of various
assets in a transparent, disciplined way.
Those investors who are older, particularly risk averse or
anxious to preserve their balances can opt for more defensive
portfolios with a greater proportion of assets in cash and high
quality, short-term fixed interest.
This is a very strait-laced, some might say boring, approach.
But it's effective, easy to understand, low cost and it never goes
out of fashion.