West Midland companies are continuing to struggle in the face of
the recession, with thousands facing either significant or
critical problems in the last quarter, according to Begbies
Traynor's latest Red Flag Alert.
Even though the rate of increase in companies facing problems
has slowed since the first quarter of the year, there is little
evidence yet of a real recovery emerging, according to experts at
the business rescue, recovery and restructuring specialist who
compile the monitor of the early signs of company distress.
In the West Midlands, there were 15,590 companies with
significant problems in the second quarter, up 46 per cent on the
same period in 2008 but down 15 per cent on the first quarter of
2009. The number of companies facing critical problems - 514 - was
up 49 per cent year-on-year but down eight per cent on the first
quarter.
Companies with significant problems are defined as those with
either a court action and/or average, poor, very poor, insolvent or
out date accounts. Companies with critical problems are those with
County Court Judgments totalling £5,000 or more and/or
Wind-Up Petition related actions.
Nationally, the number of companies with significant problems is
up 43 per cent year-on-year to 190,559, but down 14 per cent
compared with the first quarter of 2009. There are 6,088 companies
facing critical problems, again up 43 per cent year-on-year but
down one per cent compared with the first quarter.
Recruitment, engineering and manufacturing are bearing the
brunt, with a substantial increase in problem companies, while
construction and professional services have in contrast shown
reductions
John Kelly, partner at the Birmingham office of Begbies Traynor,
said: "It's still tough out there and all the signs are that it
will take some time for any recovery to take effect.
"The overall increase in the number of problem companies has
undoubtedly slowed for the last two quarters, which is better
news.
"However, we believe that corporate and personal insolvencies,
as with unemployment, tend to be indicators that lag any change in
economic activity and are therefore likely to continue to rise for
up to two years after the commencement of economic
recovery.
"Previous experience, together with an analysis of the current
recession, strongly suggests that the period from this year to 2012
will see a large number of corporate insolvencies, probably above
the peak levels experienced during the height of the last major
recession in 1992."
Red Flag Alert looks at information daily and makes quarter on
quarter and on year on year comparisons of detrimental data. A
significant number of companies with significant or critical
problems tend to enter into a formal insolvency procedure within a
year.